Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001313 0.001476 0.001642 0.001821 0.002008 0.002199 0.002407
2025-03-02 0.001002 0.001230 0.001469 0.001736 0.002024 0.002323 0.002656
2025-03-09 0.000769 0.001039 0.001332 0.001670 0.002044 0.002441 0.002890
2025-03-16 0.000599 0.000897 0.001235 0.001636 0.002090 0.002580 0.003143
2025-03-23 0.000511 0.000839 0.001225 0.001693 0.002232 0.002822 0.003506
2025-03-30 0.000411 0.000756 0.001177 0.001700 0.002314 0.002994 0.003791
2025-04-06 0.000344 0.000704 0.001160 0.001740 0.002430 0.003202 0.004115
2025-04-13 0.000303 0.000683 0.001178 0.001819 0.002589 0.003458 0.004490
2025-04-20 0.000215 0.000581 0.001085 0.001757 0.002579 0.003517 0.004642
2025-04-27 0.000140 0.000484 0.000990 0.001686 0.002553 0.003554 0.004765
2025-05-04 0.000113 0.000460 0.000991 0.001734 0.002668 0.003755 0.005073
2025-05-11 0.000072 0.000397 0.000933 0.001701 0.002683 0.003834 0.005241
2025-05-18 0.000024 0.000301 0.000828 0.001623 0.002664 0.003902 0.005431
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000221 0.000737 0.001557 0.002658 0.003988 0.005644
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000158 0.000659 0.001505 0.002667 0.004091 0.005878
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000113 0.000604 0.001479 0.002709 0.004232 0.006158
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000099 0.000606 0.001538 0.002862 0.004510 0.006602
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000074 0.000578 0.001548 0.002949 0.004706 0.006947
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000060 0.000570 0.001588 0.003075 0.004952 0.007352
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000054 0.000585 0.001665 0.003251 0.005258 0.007830
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000027 0.000521 0.001606 0.003240 0.005329 0.008023
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000008 0.000454 0.001539 0.003212 0.005376 0.008185
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000005 0.000455 0.001585 0.003343 0.005625 0.008591